New paper out in Nature Communications

The study, led by Lynch Lab postdoc Chris Che-Castaldo, highlights the need to aggregate abundance estimates over space to produce robust estimates of abundance when substantial stochasticity exists in populations. Adélie penguin population dynamics are inherently noisy, making it difficult to separate signal from noise when using these birds as indicators for environmental change. Nearly the entire global population of Adélie penguins was modeled in this effort, using every piece of publicly available data on Adélie penguin abundance. All code and data (instructions on how to query the database) to run the analyses available in the supplements! Check out the MAPPPD website to interact with the model results and check out penguin population dynamics for yourself.

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